Best Bets NFL Week 4: Trust the Seahawks
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MIA @ SEA OVER(54.5)
ODDS: -110
This one is pretty simple, Seattle is 3-for-3 on OVERs this year, and their lowest scoring game finished with a combined score of 63. The Dolphins have also ben scoring in their last two games, with 28 against the Bills and 31 against the Jaguars. Like last week’s BUF/LAR OVER bet, if the Seahawks & Dolphins each hit their scoring average for the season, this bet will hit by 9.5 points.
BAL (-13) @ WAS
ODDS: -110
The Ravens had a rough game against the Chiefs last week, but don’t let that fool you into thinking this team isn’t an absolute buzzsaw. Extending back to last season, the Ravens have shown a pattern of playing close games against the good teams in the league, and dominating the bad teams. The Ravens are 8-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games as favorites, and 5-0 ATS as double-digit favorites. I expect that trend to continue with the Ravens dominating this one from start to finish.
Teaser (6 Points): SEA (-1), TB (-1), AZ (+2)
ODDS: +150
I like this teaser a lot because I’m essentially just betting on each of these teams to win their respective games, which they should. The Seahawks are 3-0 ATS this season, and Russell Wilson’s game is on another planet right now. The Dolphins don’t play great defense, and Ryan Fitzpatrick won’t be able to keep up with Seahawks scoring.
The Buccaneers should prove to be a mismatch for the Chargers, who are struggling mightily to score. The Chargers are averaging 17.3 points per game, never scoring more than 20, while the Bucs are averaging 27.3 points per game, never scoring fewer than 23 points. Additionally, these teams have a common opponent in the Carolina Panthers, who beat the Chargers 22-16 last week, and lost to the Bucs 31-17 the week before. This should be a comfortable win for Tampa Bay.
Lastly, I like the Cardinals to bounce back from an ugly loss to the Lions last week. They should match up very well with Carolina’s run defense, which ranks 31st in the NFL. The Cardinals have the seventh best rushing attack in the NFL spear-headed by Kenyan Drake & Kyler Murray. The Panthers are a rebuilding team with some promise for the future, but I don’t think they’ll have enough on defense to match up with Kliff Kingsbury, Kyler Murray, and the high-flying Cardinals offense.
Teaser (6 Points): CHI/IND U(51), BUF/LV O(46)
ODDS: -120
The Bears have gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 home games, and like I mentioned on the podcast, both of these teams are stronger on defense than offense. Additionally, Nick Foles will get hid first start for the Bears, so there’s bound to be some adjustment time in that offense. I could see this one staying under 40 points, so teasing it up to 51 should be very safe.
The Buffalo and Las Vegas OVER might be the easiest bet of the week. Both of these teams have hit the OVER in all of their games so far this season, so there’s no reason to believe they both can’t do it again.