BEST BETS NFL WEEK 9: Righting the Ship
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BAL (-1) @ IND
ODDS: -110
Though both of these teams are 5-2, they are on very different levels. The Ravens two losses came at the hands of the Chiefs and the Steelers, while the Colts two losses were to the Jaguars and Browns. The Colts are allowing 26.7 points per game over their last 3, and the Ravens are easily the best offense on their schedule so far. Conversely, the Ravens have one of the best defenses in the league, allowing 14 points per game in their five wins, so they should have no trouble slowing the Colts down. I think this line is an overreaction to the Ravens’ loss last week. Don’t overthink this one, the Ravens are the better team.
DEN @ ATL U(50)
ODDS: -110
The Falcons have hit the UNDER in four of their past five games, averaging 43 combined points in those four games. On the other side, the Broncos are ranked 27th in the NFL in points scored per game, and 12th in points allowed per game. This is another line that feels like an overreaction to the Broncos 31-point performance last week, but they scored only 10 points in the first three quarters of that game before a miraculous comeback that they won’t be able to count on week-to-week.
Teaser (6 Points): CAR/KC O(46), HOU/JAX O(43.5), LV/LAC O(46.5)
ODDS: +150
There’s a good chance the Chiefs 2nd-ranked offense could score 46 points on their own, and the Panthers offense is no joke either with Christian McCaffrey making his return this weekend, so this game should have no trouble getting over 46 points.
The Jaguars & Texans have the 31st & 30th ranked defenses in the NFL, and we only need them to combine for 44 points. Need I say more?
The Raiders and Chargers are both teams with strong offenses and very leaky defenses. The last four games the Chargers have played in have averaged 63.8 points, with a low of 57, while Raiders games were averaging 59.7 points prior to their bad-weather game in Cleveland last week. In the new dome in LA, neither of these offenses will struggle to score.